Truck tonnage rose in August and driver turnover jumped in the second quarter according to the latest data from the American Trucking Associations. ATA’s advanced seasonally adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index jumped 7.1% in August, following a 0.5% gain during July. In August, the index equaled 149 (2000=100), up from 139.1 in July. That is up 8.2% from August 2016. The Index is up 2.1% year-to-date over 2016.
The not seasonally adjusted index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by the fleets before any seasonal adjustment, equaled 156.4 in August, which was 10.5% above the previous month (141.6).
“Tonnage was stronger than most other economic indicators in August and more than I would have expected,” said ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello. “However, prep work for the hurricanes and better port volumes likely gave tonnage an added boost during the month. I suspect that short-term service disruptions from when the storms made landfall, as well as the normal ebb and flow of freight, could make September weaker and tonnage will smooth out to more moderate gains, on average.”
Driver turnover at large truckload carriers, reported for the second quarter, surged 16 percentage points to 90% – the highest it has been since the final quarter of 2015. The 16-point increase is the largest quarterly jump since the fourth quarter of 2010, ATA said.
“We saw double digit gains in the annualized turnover rate for both small and large truckload fleets,” said Costello. “After a period of relatively low turnover, it appears the driver market is tightening again, which coupled with increased demand for freight movement, could rapidly exacerbate the driver shortage.”
At smaller carriers, fleets with less than $30 million in annual revenue, the turnover rate rose 19 percentage points to 85%, the highest it has been since the first quarter of 2016. LTL carriers saw a mixed result, with over-the-road LTL turnover dipping one point to 9% but the rate for local LTL drivers climbing 2 percentage points to 14%.
Did you know?
After reaching a low point of 74% in the first quarter of this year, the driver turnover rate at large truckload carriers rose 16 percentage points to 90% for the second quarter, according to data from ATA.
“We predicted that last year’s period of relatively low and stable turnover could be short-lived if the freight economy recovered from 2016’s freight recession. It appears those predictions were correct and we may be seeing the beginnings of a significant tightening of the driver market and acceleration of the driver shortage.”
- Bob Costello, ATA chief economist
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The fact that FedEx Freight technicians captured 10 separate station wins in this week’s TMC SuperTech competition is a testament to the training and dedication to excellence that the companies techs exhibit. It’s a job well done.
Hammer down everyone!