FedEx Freight sees volumes stabilize, eyes Q4 margin improvement

LTL carrier reports 84.5% adjusted OR

FedEx Freight said Thursday that shipment volumes are stabilizing, with expectations for improved operating leverage in the coming year driven by new business wins and a better freight mix. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)

The nation’s largest less-than-truckload carrier, FedEx Freight, said Thursday that volumes have continued to stabilize and that it expects to see stronger operating leverage next year as a standalone company. Its local, dedicated LTL sales teams are seeing business wins and driving a better freight mix across the network.

FedEx Freight (NYSE: FDXF) completed its spinoff from FedEx (NYSE: FDX) in June. FedEx reported financial results on Wednesday.

The carrier reported four-month results (June through September) Thursday after the market closed as part of a transition to calendar-year financial reporting.

Revenue in the period increased 9% year over year to $3.28 billion. Revenue per day was up 8%. Adjusted earnings per share of $2.15 were 70 cents lower y/y.

Table: FedEx Freight’s key performance indicators

The revenue increase was driven by a 9% increase in revenue per hundredweight (yield), while tonnage was level with the prior-year period. The tonnage result stemmed from a 1% decline in shipments per day, which was offset by a 1% increase in weight per shipment.

Yield (ex-fuel) was up just 0.3% y/y. Revenue per shipment (ex-fuel) increased 2%.

It has repriced approximately 25% of its contract business since the separation and said net revenue churn has improved. It expects both volumes and yield (ex-fuel) to increase in the fourth quarter. September marked the ninth straight month of expansion for the U.S. manufacturing complex, which is a significant source of LTL freight. 

FedEx Freight’s 2027 general rate increase is expected to average 6.9% and takes effect on Jan. 8.

The company reported an 84.5% adjusted operating ratio (inverse of operating margin), which was 90 basis points better y/y.  

Guidance for the fourth quarter includes revenue of $2.3 billion to $2.37 billion, a 13% y/y increase at the midpoint of the range. Higher diesel fuel surcharges will be a primary driver of the increase. Diesel prices were 48% higher y/y in the third quarter.

Adjusted operating income is expected to increase 20% y/y (at the midpoint) to a range of $185 million to $205 million. (The guide implies a 91.4% to 92% adjusted OR, 50 bps better y/y at the midpoint.)

The company said it will soon decide on a dividend, and on buying back stock. It said that share repurchases would likely be executed to offset dilution as FedEx unwinds its equity position.

Shares of FDXF were up 3% in after-hours trading on Thursday.

Why it matters? FedEx Freight’s standalone results provide deeper context around its LTL operations and broader market trends.

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Todd Maiden

Based in Richmond, VA, Todd is the finance editor at FreightWaves. Prior to joining FreightWaves, he covered the TLs, LTLs, railroads and brokers for RBC Capital Markets and BB&T Capital Markets. Todd began his career in banking and finance before moving over to transportation equity research where he provided stock recommendations for publicly traded transportation companies.