The ATA’s analysis projects that the shortage could grow to as many as 175,000 drivers by 2024, if “current trends hold.” The trucking industry will need to hire 890,000 new drivers, an average of 89,000 per year, in order to keep pace with demand, according to the report.
“Roughly half, 45 percent, of demand for drivers comes from the need to replace retiring drivers; industry growth is the second leading driver of new hiring, accounting for 33 percent of the need,” ATA noted.
The report did not factor in any impacts of pending federal regulations like electronic logging on the driver shortage.
“The ability to find enough qualified drivers is one of our industry’s biggest challenges,” ATA President and CEO Bill Graves said of the analysis. “This latest report plainly lays out the problem – as well as some possible solutions – to the driver shortage.”
“An important thing we learned in this analysis is that this isn’t strictly a numbers problem, it is a quality problem too,” added ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello. “Fleets consistently report receiving applications for open positions, but that many of those candidates do not meet the criteria to be hired. According our research, 88 percent of carriers said most applicants are not qualified.”
“Our work shows the great and growing need for drivers, but we also highlight several solutions including increasing driver pay, getting drivers more time at home, as well as improving the image of the driver and their treatment by all companies in the supply chain,” said Costello. “Make no mistake, the driver shortage is a challenge, but it is not an insurmountable one.”
Brokerage Compliance Symposium
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
F3 Awards Dinner
The night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
F3: Future of Freight Festival
Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowThe night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowIndustry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now