'The actual facts are clear. There is and or will be overcapacity in the major trades. Freight rates in general are too low,' Yu told delegates at the Intermodal 2006 conference in Hamburg.
'It is virtually impossible to come to at least what might call concerted action with regards to newbuilding programs to even the rate levels.
'One major reason for this is that there are too many players in the market. In my view, consolidation will and has to continue,' Yu said.
Yu believes cargo volumes will maintain their growth rates, driven by the Chinese export and the emerging Indian sub-continental trades. 'One can be rather confident for the next few years,' he said.
The China Shipping executive added that he expects to see 'substantial changes' in cargo flows with ships cascading from traditional trades to smaller, less established markets, which will also help ease any future overcapacity issues.
'Consequently, such supply and demand scenarios will change,' Yu said. 'If the U.S. East Coast could handle the ultra-large ships, why shouldn’t a 5,000-TEU vessel go via West Africa to the Far East?'
For this to happen, Yu said major investment is required. 'Large trade areas like the U.S. East Coast to Africa will have to improve or even establish an adequate terminal structure to allow our industry to serve such consumer areas in an efficient way,' he said.
Brokerage Compliance Symposium
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
F3 Awards Dinner
The night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
F3: Future of Freight Festival
Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowThe night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowIndustry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now