In an investor note derived from a recent visit with FedEx management, David Ross, managing director of Stifel’s Transportation & Logistics Research Group, noted that a significant portion of the U.S. express volume growth year-to-date comes from “e-tailers” that have been giving FedEx more regular business throughout the year to get access to more capacity during the December rush.
“We believe this customer approach (the more non-peak volume one ships via FedEx, the more FedEx capacity is available to that shipper at peak) to be an excellent sales and management strategy on the part of the company,” Ross wrote.
Ross noted that while FedEx is unlikely to be able to assess peak season surcharges this year, those surcharges “are appropriate to better match the customer price with the additional costs to carriers of providing peak capacity. If peak is worse this year than last, expect these surcharges next December.”
Finally, Ross wrote that the current West Coast port congestion issues are more likely to drive incremental airfreight, not air express, benefiting forwarders instead of FedEx.
“But [the congestion issues] are certainly a net positive for FedEx, the longer the issues linger and the worse the congestion gets at U.S. West Coast ports,” he wrote.
Brokerage Compliance Symposium
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
F3 Awards Dinner
The night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
F3: Future of Freight Festival
Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowThe night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowIndustry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now