GXO cautiously confident about ’23 after beating bottom line in Q4

Company expects trillions in nearshored goods by 2027

GXO lowers full-year organic revenue growth estimates (Photo: GXO Logistics)

GXO Logistics Inc. reported Wednesday fourth-quarter earnings per share of 83 cents, exceeding analysts’ estimates by 8 cents per share and up 10 cents a share from the 2021 period. Revenue rose 9.1% to $2.5 billion.

The Greenwich, Connecticut-based contract logistics provider (NYSE: GXO) posted $46 million in net income and a 23% increase in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), three times its organic revenue growth.

The company said it had closed $182 million in new wins in the quarter and had $2.1 billion in sales in its pipeline by year’s end.

E-commerce revenue rose 31%, and reverse logistics revenue increased 19% as GXO continued its integration of British reverse logistics specialist Clipper Logistics PLC, which GXO acquired late last year.

The company also reaffirmed its 2023 guidance first conveyed at its recent Investor Day, when it outlined annual projections through ’27.  

CEO Malcolm Wilson told analysts Wednesday that the company is “cautiously confident” about 2023, adding that “business is in alignment with our expectations.” Wilson also said GXO has seen the worst of inflation in warehouse labor after more than a year of tight supply and steadily rising wages.

Baris Oran, GXO’s CFO, said in an interview late Wednesday that the best thing about the report was that “there were no surprises.”

Company executives said they are seeing strong “stickiness” among numerous verticals, most notably the semiconductor sector that requires the high level of warehouse automation that GXO is known for. The demand for automation is so strong that GXO has to be “careful not to oversell” its solutions for fear of potential service issues.

Oran said the company is seeing more activity from Eastern Europe due to geopolitical issues and longer supply chains that require the services of experienced contract logistics providers.

In what could be a huge tailwind for the company, GXO expects about $3.5 trillion worth of goods to be nearshored between now and 2027. This would create enormous waves of demand for third-party providers of all types, with billions of dollars in business generated in warehouse and related services, the company said. 

Each 1% of trade that moves to Europe and North America represents a $1 billion opportunity for warehouse and ancillary services, Oran said.

Upcoming FreightWaves Events
Compliance

Brokerage Compliance Symposium

The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.

October 26, 2026
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN
Register Now
Awards

F3 Awards Dinner

The night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.

October 26, 2026
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN
Register Now
FreightTech

F3: Future of Freight Festival

Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.

October 27, 2026 – October 28, 2026
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN
Register Now
Compliance Brokerage Compliance Symposium Oct 26 • The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN

The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.

The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now
Awards F3 Awards Dinner Oct 26 • The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN

The night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.

The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now
FreightTech F3: Future of Freight Festival Oct 27 – Oct 28 • The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN

Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.

The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now

Mark Solomon

Formerly the Executive Editor at DC Velocity, Mark Solomon joined FreightWaves as Managing Editor of Freight Markets. Solomon began his journalistic career in 1982 at Traffic World magazine, ran his own public relations firm (Media Based Solutions) from 1994 to 2008, and has been at DC Velocity since then. Over the course of his career, Solomon has covered nearly the whole gamut of the transportation and logistics industry, including trucking, railroads, maritime, 3PLs, and regulatory issues. Solomon witnessed and narrated the rise of Amazon and XPO Logistics and the shift of the U.S. Postal Service from a mail-focused service to parcel, as well as the exponential, e-commerce-driven growth of warehouse square footage and omnichannel fulfillment.