Trump’s 100% tariff on China threatens new supply chain shock

100% tariff threat raising concerns of fresh supply chain disruption

President Donald Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports threatens to disrupt global manufacturing and reroute container flows. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)
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Key Takeaways:

  • President Trump announced potential tariffs of up to 100% on Chinese imports by November 1, escalating the U.S.-China trade conflict in response to China's new rare earth mineral export controls.
  • U.S. companies dependent on Chinese manufacturing face significantly increased costs, shipment delays, and the need to find alternative suppliers, leading to disruptions across global supply chains and freight logistics.
  • Freight forwarders recommend businesses proactively build resilient supply chains through strategies like dual sourcing and utilizing bonded warehouses to mitigate the impact of ongoing tariffs.
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President Donald Trump announced Friday that the U.S. could impose tariffs of up to 100% on imports from China by Nov. 1, marking an escalation in the U.S.–China trade conflict and raising uncertainty across global supply chains.

In a Truth Social post Friday, Trump said the tariffs were retaliation for China’s new export controls announced a day earlier on rare earth minerals and related technologies.

Many U.S. companies that rely on Chinese manufacturing could face soaring costs and shipment delays as they scramble to reroute orders or find alternative suppliers in Mexico, India, or Southeast Asia. Containerized imports from China—roughly 40% of all U.S. inbound freight—could plummet, triggering blank sailings, idle vessel capacity, and rate volatility.

Freight forwarders said shippers need to be proactive when dealing with tariffs.

“Whether it’s this announcement or the additions under Section 232 a couple of weeks ago, it’s clear tariffs are here to stay,” Ben Bidwell, senior director of customs and compliance at C.H. Robinson.

“The current environment may feel unpredictable to some, but businesses can be proactive versus reactive by building resilient supply chains: consider establishing a sourcing hierarchy, leveraging dual sourcing, exploring bonded warehouses or free trade zones, and other strategies. These are conversations we’ve had with customers for years but the current trade landscape has accelerated the occurrences, and many of our customers’ timelines.”

China remains a major U.S. trade partner and is the largest supplier of goods to the U.S., but it ranks behind Mexico and Canada in total trade volume.

The U.S. has exchanged roughly $420 billion to $440 billion in goods with China year-to-date, down from more than $465 billion during the same period in 2024, according to Census Bureau data.

The leading U.S. imports include electronics, machinery, furniture, and consumer goods, while top exports to China are agricultural products, aircraft, and semiconductors.

Noi Mahoney

Noi Mahoney is a Texas-based journalist who covers cross-border trade, logistics and supply chains for FreightWaves. He graduated from the University of Texas at Austin with a degree in English in 1998. Mahoney has more than 20 years experience as a journalist, working for newspapers in Maryland and Texas. Contact nmahoney@freightwaves.com