Dangerous cold, lake effect snow continue this weekend

(Photo credit: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)
Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves

The lake effect snow machine will show no mercy this weekend across western New York – mainly the Tug Hill region – as well as northern Michigan. Strong winds in these areas will add to the misery, as some people might perceive the situation, making it risky and unhealthy to be outside for more than a few minutes.

Big Dose of Snow

In New York, areas along I-81 from Oswego to Watertown could get buried under 16 to 24 inches of new snow through early Saturday in the most persistent snow bands, as well as along State Route 26 through Lowville. An additional eight to 14 inches could pile up along the I-90 corridor from Buffalo to Batavia, as well as from Jamestown to Orchard Park. Occasional snow showers may linger on Sunday, but additional accumulations will pale in comparison to the day before. The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued Winter Storm Warnings for these areas.

Snowfall won’t be as aggressive in the Upper Peninsula (UP) of Michigan, but totals in some towns won’t be anything to sneeze at. Through the day on Saturday, another six to 10 inches could accumulate north of Houghton on the Keweenaw Peninsula, but areas just to the south and east of Houghton will probably be spared from the heavier snow. Other spots like Newberry and Ontonagon could see a few more inches, too.

Check chain laws here for the latest updates on winter driving.

Harsh Winds and Bitter Cold

Along with the snow and wind, the air will be bitterly cold all weekend across the Great Lakes states, with wind chills of 25 degrees below zero or lower by sunrise on Saturday. The worst conditions will be across the Arrowhead of Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, and Michigan’s UP, where wind chills could dip to minus 40 degrees. For trucks parked overnight, there’s a potential for brake failures, fuel gelling, and/or trouble starting due to aging batteries with low Cold Cranking Amps (CCA) values. Drivers: plan for delays and possible road closures, and if your loads are “protect from freeze,” make sure they’re hauled on reefers with the temperature set properly.


  Source: NOAA
Source: NOAA

Also, in these harsh conditions, frostbite of exposed skin can happen within 10 to 15 minutes. The best ways to stay safe are to dress in layers, wear hats and gloves, and simply limit the amount of time outside.

Crosswinds gusting to 35 or 40 mph will make it difficult for drivers deadheading or hauling light loads through the areas previously mentioned, and blowing snow could occasionally limit visibility to zero.

In addition to possible problems for truckers, anyone bringing boats to dock or ships into port along the shores of Lakes Michigan and Superior need to know that rapid ice accumulation is likely on their vessels this weekend due to freezing spray. This can be extremely hazardous to navigation. Details on the Heavy Freezing Spray Warning and Wind Chill Warnings can be found on this interactive map.

Impact on Freight Movement

  SONAR ticker: Outbound Tender Reject Index - Michigan
SONAR ticker: Outbound Tender Reject Index – Michigan


Looking at Michigan, recent outbound tender rejections more than doubled in less than a week. This was likely due to record snowfall in some parts of the state last weekend, as there wasn’t a significant increase in outbound volume causing carriers to reject loads. With more heavy lake effect snow this weekend, tender rejections may remain elevated in the coming days.

Upcoming FreightWaves Events
AI

Supply Chain AI Symposium

Past the hype. Join operators, founders, and enterprise leaders figuring out how to deploy AI in supply chain.

July 15, 2026
The Old Post • Chicago, IL
Register Now
FreightTech

F3: Future of Freight Festival

Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.

October 27, 2026 – October 28, 2026
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN
Register Now
AI Supply Chain AI Symposium Jul 15 • The Old Post • Chicago, IL

Past the hype. Join operators, founders, and enterprise leaders figuring out how to deploy AI in supply chain.

The Old Post • Chicago, IL Register Now
FreightTech F3: Future of Freight Festival Oct 27 – Oct 28 • The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN

Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.

The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now