Landstar’s Q4 in line; Q1 outlook disappoints

First-quarter guidance 25% light of analysts’ expectations

Landstar will host a call on Thursday at 8 a.m. EST to discuss fourth-quarter results with analysts. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)

Freight broker Landstar System’s fourth quarter was largely as expected, but its outlook for the first quarter was well below analysts’ expectations.

Landstar (NASDAQ: LSTR) reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.62 Wednesday after the market closed. The result was in line with the consensus estimate but nearly $1 lower year over year (y/y). The company closes its books on the last Saturday of the year, which resulted in an extra operating week in the year-ago quarter.

Total revenue of $1.2 billon was 28% lower y/y and worse than management’s guidance. Landstar said the extra week equated to $65 million in revenue last year.

Click link to full story – “Landstar says 2 more quarters before recovery”

Total loads hauled by trucks were down 22% y/y in the quarter but in line with guidance. Revenue per load was down 9.6%, 260 basis points worse than the midpoint of management’s guidance range.

“The continuation of soft demand, driven by continued weakness in the U.S. manufacturing sector and a weaker than typical peak season, plus the continuation of a loose truck capacity market drove Landstar’s truck revenue per load and volumes in the 2023 fourth quarter below prior year levels,” Jim Gattoni, president and CEO, stated in a news release.

The company is seeing the normal seasonal sequential step-down in demand so far in 2024.

Landstar expects revenue for the first quarter to be in a range of $1.1 billion to $1.15 billion, a 22% y/y decline at the midpoint of the range. Loads hauled by truck are expected to decline between 14% and 16%, with revenue per load down by 8% to 10%. The company is calling for first-quarter EPS of $1.25 to $1.35, well short of the $1.63 estimate at the time of the print.

Variable contribution, or revenue less purchased transportation and commissions, fell 24% y/y to $178 million. The contribution margin improved 80 bps to 14.8% as purchased transportation expenses as a percentage of revenue declined modestly.

The company generated $394 million in cash flow from operations in 2023, a 37% y/y decline.

Landstar will host a call on Thursday at 8 a.m. EST to discuss fourth-quarter results with analysts.

Click link to full story – “Landstar says 2 more quarters before recovery”

Table: Landstar’s key performance indicators

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Todd Maiden

Based in Richmond, VA, Todd is the finance editor at FreightWaves. Prior to joining FreightWaves, he covered the TLs, LTLs, railroads and brokers for RBC Capital Markets and BB&T Capital Markets. Todd began his career in banking and finance before moving over to transportation equity research where he provided stock recommendations for publicly traded transportation companies.