• ITVI.USA
    15,496.720
    85.590
    0.6%
  • OTLT.USA
    2.743
    0.003
    0.1%
  • OTRI.USA
    21.110
    0.000
    0%
  • OTVI.USA
    15,466.390
    90.520
    0.6%
  • TSTOPVRPM.ATLPHL
    3.300
    0.000
    0%
  • TSTOPVRPM.CHIATL
    3.140
    0.190
    6.4%
  • TSTOPVRPM.DALLAX
    1.590
    0.150
    10.4%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXDAL
    3.330
    0.020
    0.6%
  • TSTOPVRPM.PHLCHI
    2.170
    0.020
    0.9%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXSEA
    4.080
    0.130
    3.3%
  • WAIT.USA
    125.000
    -1.000
    -0.8%
  • ITVI.USA
    15,496.720
    85.590
    0.6%
  • OTLT.USA
    2.743
    0.003
    0.1%
  • OTRI.USA
    21.110
    0.000
    0%
  • OTVI.USA
    15,466.390
    90.520
    0.6%
  • TSTOPVRPM.ATLPHL
    3.300
    0.000
    0%
  • TSTOPVRPM.CHIATL
    3.140
    0.190
    6.4%
  • TSTOPVRPM.DALLAX
    1.590
    0.150
    10.4%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXDAL
    3.330
    0.020
    0.6%
  • TSTOPVRPM.PHLCHI
    2.170
    0.020
    0.9%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXSEA
    4.080
    0.130
    3.3%
  • WAIT.USA
    125.000
    -1.000
    -0.8%
American Shipper

Analysts say transpacific rates dropping

Analysts say transpacific rates dropping

   Several analysts at a conference on transpacific shipping said freight rate decreases expected by the industry for some time are finally coming to fruition.

   Paul Svindland, director of transportation and logistics for ICG Commerce, said that in a survey of shippers (many of whom have already locked in contracts with carriers), rates have fallen 6 to 12 percent.

   It’s what many analysts predict will be the norm when rate negotiations begin in May.

   Mark Page, a research director with Drewry Shipping Consultants, said he’s forecasting an 8.75 percent reduction in transpacific rates, primarily stoked by overcapacity due to an influx of new vessels coming online this year and next.

   “The management of capacity is very big this year,” he said. “We’re predicting a 12 percent increase in transpacific capacity — even though the order book has more capacity coming online — because of the large number of vessels moving in and out of the trade. But if that cascading doesn’t happen, that 12 percent can become considerably higher, and we’re talking about moving around more than 200 ships, even though the net gain is only 34.”

We are glad you’re enjoying the content

Sign up for a free FreightWaves account today for unlimited access to all of our latest content

By signing in for the first time, I give consent for FreightWaves to send me event updates and news. I can unsubscribe from these emails at any time. For more information please see our Privacy Policy.