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“Freight rates are not based on quality but the market,” he said in response to a question posed by a delegate at the European Shipper Council’s Forum in Lisbon who asked: “If we pay more, do we get more?”
There is a suspicion among shippers that conferences such as the Far Eastern Freight Conference have been pushing up rates simply in order to set a high benchmark for when they are outlawed next October. Last week’s 2008 eastbound business plan announcement by the FEFC included provision for a further rise on Oct. 1, 2008, just weeks before the official repeal of EC Regulation 4056/86 on Oct. 18, 2008.
Presenting the liner carrier view of market trends, Kolding admitted his company’s takeover of P&O Nedlloyd had created an “abnormal disturbance” in the market in 2006, but said carriers are struggling with “external” inefficiencies in the supply chain such as terminal congestion and European infrastructure that cannot match projected growth rates in container volume.
He said in order to sustain the low rate levels carriers now must reach 90 percent or more ship utilization. That figure rises to 100 percent in peak seasons, he said.
Over the vexed issue of ancillary charges such as bunker adjustment factors, Kolding said that lines are forced to pass on some of the cost to their customers because fuel prices continue to rise sharply, increasing $180 per FEU through 2007.
“We are fooling ourselves if we think a low-margin business like container shipping can sustain these extreme rises,” he said.
He said the success of the liner industry will depend more and more on shifting cargo to and from port hinterlands and that will require help from shippers.
“Congestion is going to get worse. That’s for certain,” he said, pointing out that volumes are set to double in the next eight years creating tighter berthing windows and restricted terminal space.
To make best use of the available capacity, Kolding urged shippers to be more flexible in their pick up and delivery times to off-peak, non-daytime slots. Also, better information exchange with shippers giving longer-term volume forecasts would enable carriers to plan ahead for investments and networks, Kolding said.
“Without the help of the customers, structural congestion in the future can not be prevented,” he said.
Brokerage Compliance Symposium
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
F3 Awards Dinner
The night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
F3: Future of Freight Festival
Industry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The day before F3. Every compliance issue you face - fraud exposure, carrier liability, FMCSA rules, cargo theft, insurance gaps - navigated by attorneys and operators defining best practices in a changing industry.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowThe night before F3. FreightTech100 companies honored. FreightTech 25 and Shipper of Choice winners revealed live. Cocktail reception into dinner and live music - 300 industry leaders in one purpose-built room.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register NowIndustry-defining keynotes, rapid-fire technology demos, and industry leaders networking in experiences across Chattanooga - plus the inaugural F3 Awards Dinner featuring the FreightTech and Shipper of Choice reveals.
The Signal at Chattanooga Choo Choo • Chattanooga, TN Register Now