Disappointing Q1 for TFI International as US LTL drags down results

Stock is down post-release, as metrics for TForce continue to lag

Earnings at TFI International disappointed. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)

Key Takeaways:

  • TFI International's stock price dropped significantly after reporting disappointing first-quarter earnings, missing both revenue and earnings per share forecasts.
  • The company's U.S. LTL operations (TForce Freight) underperformed, showing negative revenue per hundredweight and shipment, and a sharply increased operating ratio.
  • While the truckload segment showed revenue growth, it was overshadowed by the poor performance of the U.S. LTL division, highlighting its increasing importance to the company's overall results.
  • Despite the negative results, CEO Alain Bedard emphasized the company's strong financial position and focus on free cash flow, indicating a strategic approach to navigating industry weakness.

The stock of TFI International took a significant downturn in post-close trading Wednesday after earnings that again can only be described as disappointing.

At approximately 5:30 p.m., TFI International stock was down about 2% to $76.85. It had been down by more immediately after the close. TFI stock had weakened by the end of the regular trading day, falling 0.19% at the close to $78.43. It is down about 42% in the past three months.

According to SeekingAlpha, non-GAAP earnings of 76 cents a share at TFI fell short of forecasts by 18 cents, while revenue of $1.96 billion missed analyst forecasts by $100 million.

The fate of the trucking conglomerate has increasingly been tied to the operations of its U.S. LTL operations, which contains the legacy business of UPS Freight and operates as TForce Freight.

However, revenue in its truckload group excluding fuel was up sharply from a year ago as a result of acquisitions, increasing to $662.9 million from $397.7 million. Meanwhile, total LTL operations excluding fuel had revenue of $679.9 million, down from $783.5 million a year ago.

Various operating metrics for the U.S. LTL group were all negative. Revenue per hundredweight excluding fuel was down 7.23% from the corresponding quarter in 2024. Revenue per shipment excluding fuel dropped a little more than 4%. Adjusted operating ratio was down 630 basis points to 98.9% from 92.6%.

In earnings calls with analysts, CEO Alain Bedard has compared the U.S. LTL operations unfavorably to its Canadian operations. The Canadian LTL division had an OR of 80.2% in the quarter, an improvement from 80.9%. Revenue per shipment excluding fuel rose slightly, but revenue per hundredweight with or without fuel declined for the Canadian LTL operations. 

Truckload’s operating income rose to $48.8 million from $41.5 million, though that 17.5% increase paled compared to the more than 66% increase in revenue. Meanwhile, operating income in LTL was $47.1 million on revenue before fuel of $679 million. The corresponding numbers from a year ago were operating income of $85 million on $783.5 million in revenue.

In the company’s earnings release, Bedard did not focus on any operating metrics. “TFI International continues to navigate industrywide freight demand weakness by following long held core operating principles, including an overarching focus on robust free cash flow as evidenced by a 40% year-over-year increase during the first quarter,” he said.

He also said the company is on “strong financial footing” that enables TFI to “take a strategic approach to cyclicality, making targeted investments while our hardworking team drives operational excellence across the organization.” He touted the cash returned to shareholders via dividends or buybacks as well.

Bedard’s call with analysts is at 9 a.m. EDT Thursday. Unlike most CEOs in the logistics sector, Bedard is always the only company executive on the call.

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John Kingston

John has an almost 40-year career covering commodities, most of the time at S&P Global Platts. He created the Dated Brent benchmark, now the world’s most important crude oil marker. He was Director of Oil, Director of News, the editor in chief of Platts Oilgram News and the “talking head” for Platts on numerous media outlets, including CNBC, Fox Business and Canada’s BNN. He covered metals before joining Platts and then spent a year running Platts’ metals business as well. He was awarded the International Association of Energy Economics Award for Excellence in Written Journalism in 2015. In 2010, he won two Corporate Achievement Awards from McGraw-Hill, an extremely rare accomplishment, one for steering coverage of the BP Deepwater Horizon disaster and the other for the launch of a public affairs television show, Platts Energy Week.