Earnings beat helps Expeditors stock power to an all-time high

Financial performance wasn’t much stronger compared to last year, but were more than analysts were expecting

Expeditors' earnings helped boost its stock price further. (Photo: FreightWaves)
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Key Takeaways:

  • Expeditors International's stock is trading at all-time highs, primarily driven by its latest earnings report which beat Wall Street estimates for EPS and revenue, despite overall declines in net earnings and operating income.
  • The company's Airfreight business experienced higher volume and its Customs Brokerage segment saw significant revenue growth of 13.3%, positively impacted by tariffs and increased complexity.
  • Conversely, Expeditors' Ocean freight business struggled with declining volume and faces a negative outlook due to market overcapacity and anticipated continued pressure on rates.
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The stock of Expeditors International is trading at all-time highs after its Tuesday earnings report and steady gains in the last three months. 

The 52-week high of $136.18 recorded Tuesday at freight forwarder and customs broker Expeditors (NYSE: EXPD) was up about 11.2% in the last 52 weeks and about 16.7% in the last three months. Expeditors’ 52-week low was $100.47 on April 9.

The gains didn’t stop there. At approximately 11:15 a.m. Wednesday, Expeditors’ stock was up 1.69%, or $2.30 to $238.03. It has risen 17.55% in five days, according to Barchart data.

The company’s earnings on their face were not particularly strong. Diluted net earnings declined 1% to $1.64, with net earnings dropping 3% to $222 million. Operating income was down 4%, as were revenues.

But the $1.64 was better than Wall Street estimates, helping to lead to the higher stock price. 

Beat Wall Street consensus

The transportation research team at TD Securities led by Jason Seidl said the earnings per share figure “easily exceeded” its forecast of $1.42 and a Wall Street estimate of $1.39. Revenue of $2.9 billion also was better than forecasts, as well as EBIT margins. 

A bright spot at Expeditors was higher volume in its airfreight business. Shipments measured in kilos were up 4% overall for the quarter, though the gains decreased as the three months went on: July was up 6%, August rose 3% and September inched up just 2%.

Wall said of the air business that the capacity it buys was looser, following the expiration of the de minimis exception which he said had tightened space as importers rushed to get goods into the U.S. before that development at the end of August. “That extra capacity led to slightly lower sell and buy rates during the quarter,” Wall said.

Tariffs lift Customs Brokerage

Another strong area was Customs Brokerage, which saw its revenue grow 13.3% year-on-year. 

In a prepared statement released in conjunction with the earnings–Expeditors does not hold an earnings call with analysts–president and CEO Daniel Wall cited Customs Brokerage as a strong performer in the quarter.

Wall said the group is “(continuing) to perform at a high level” and has been positively affected by tariffs and the need for information and guidance among shippers and importers.

“The increase in volume and complexity of entries continues to test our customs group,” Wall said. “We are investing in and exploring ways to further enhance our productivity in this area, including enhancements from AI and other technology solutions.”

But the strength in air freight and customs brokerage was not matched in Expeditors’ ocean freight business. Measured in forty foot equivalents, ocean traffic was down 3% on the quarter, with volume deteriorating as the quarter went on. It was up 3%in July, but down 4% in September and 6% in October. 

“In the first half of the year, U.S. importers accelerated shipments in advance of expected tariffs,” Wall said in his prepared statement. “Volumes declined in the third quarter, primarily related to retail customers and, as additional capacity came on-line, sell and buy rates declined substantially. Despite these market challenges, we remained disciplined and efficient while adjusting our ocean business for slower market growth, as we recognize that the ocean capacity/demand imbalance could continue for some time.”

Seidl’s report also saw a negative outlook in Expeditors’ ocean business. “We expect to see this segment to see continued pressure over ‘26 as peer commentary has indicated that 6% to 9% additional ocean capacity is anticipated next year and rate recovery would require a significant turnaround in the demand picture, which faces trade headwinds,” Seidl said.

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John Kingston

John has an almost 40-year career covering commodities, most of the time at S&P Global Platts. He created the Dated Brent benchmark, now the world’s most important crude oil marker. He was Director of Oil, Director of News, the editor in chief of Platts Oilgram News and the “talking head” for Platts on numerous media outlets, including CNBC, Fox Business and Canada’s BNN. He covered metals before joining Platts and then spent a year running Platts’ metals business as well. He was awarded the International Association of Energy Economics Award for Excellence in Written Journalism in 2015. In 2010, he won two Corporate Achievement Awards from McGraw-Hill, an extremely rare accomplishment, one for steering coverage of the BP Deepwater Horizon disaster and the other for the launch of a public affairs television show, Platts Energy Week.