• ITVI.USA
    15,523.360
    80.780
    0.5%
  • OTLT.USA
    2.879
    -0.012
    -0.4%
  • OTRI.USA
    20.890
    0.040
    0.2%
  • OTVI.USA
    15,485.300
    73.880
    0.5%
  • TSTOPVRPM.ATLPHL
    2.820
    -0.100
    -3.4%
  • TSTOPVRPM.CHIATL
    3.580
    -0.100
    -2.7%
  • TSTOPVRPM.DALLAX
    1.260
    -0.030
    -2.3%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXDAL
    3.650
    0.030
    0.8%
  • TSTOPVRPM.PHLCHI
    2.330
    -0.090
    -3.7%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXSEA
    4.020
    -0.150
    -3.6%
  • WAIT.USA
    127.000
    -1.000
    -0.8%
  • ITVI.USA
    15,523.360
    80.780
    0.5%
  • OTLT.USA
    2.879
    -0.012
    -0.4%
  • OTRI.USA
    20.890
    0.040
    0.2%
  • OTVI.USA
    15,485.300
    73.880
    0.5%
  • TSTOPVRPM.ATLPHL
    2.820
    -0.100
    -3.4%
  • TSTOPVRPM.CHIATL
    3.580
    -0.100
    -2.7%
  • TSTOPVRPM.DALLAX
    1.260
    -0.030
    -2.3%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXDAL
    3.650
    0.030
    0.8%
  • TSTOPVRPM.PHLCHI
    2.330
    -0.090
    -3.7%
  • TSTOPVRPM.LAXSEA
    4.020
    -0.150
    -3.6%
  • WAIT.USA
    127.000
    -1.000
    -0.8%
American ShipperContainerMaritimeNewsShippingTop Stories

Just how many containers of cargo are stuck off California’s coast?

More cargo on ships waiting offshore than a month of imports to Long Beach

With around 70 container ships loaded with cargo now waiting at anchor or drifting off the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, how deep of a hole are the terminals actually in?

To answer that question, American Shipper analyzed data from the Marine Exchange of Southern California on exactly which ships are out there and how much cargo they can carry.

While the numbers fluctuate from day to day, there were 70 container ships in the queue on Monday with total capacity of 432,909 twenty-foot equivalent units. To put the enormity of that number in perspective, that’s more than the inbound container volume the Port of Long Beach handled in the entire month of August. It’s roughly what Charleston handles inbound in four months and what Savannah handles in two.

The combined import throughput of both Los Angeles and Long Beach in August was 893,118 TEUs. Assuming ships waiting offshore are effectively full and capacity is a good proxy for volume, and that terminals are able to process vessels at the same pace they did in August, the anchorages and drift areas could only be completely cleared if no ships arrived for 14 days straight days.

Not only would that never happen, but there is no letup in arrivals in sight. Vessel-positioning data from MarineTraffic confirms that a steady stream of container ships remains en route across the Pacific, destined for Los Angeles.

Container ship en route to the Port of Los Angeles as of Tuesday (Map: MarineTraffic)

How long ships wait for berths

The Port of Los Angeles publishes the average waiting period for a ship to reach one of its berths. On Tuesday, that number rose to an all-time high of nine days (calculated on a 30-day rolling average basis).

To gauge how much capacity has been stuck waiting for how long, American Shipper looked at aggregate TEUs by arrival date.

Thirty-six ships with a total capacity of 230,803 TEUs arrived in port waters in the seven days through Monday. That’s 54% of the total TEU capacity waiting offshore. Another 27 ships with total capacity of 176,892 TEUs arrived between one and two weeks prior to Monday, representing a further 42%. The remaining few ships arrived in late August and early September.

Chart: American Shipper based on data from Marine Exchange of Southern California

Several larger container ships have suffered waits of beyond one week. The 13,092-TEU Maersk Elba arrived Sept. 7; the 11,142-TEU MSC Avni on Sept. 9; the 11,356-TEU CMA CGM Callisto on Sept. 11; the 10,055-TEU Hyundai Neptune and 14,036-TEU MSC Livorno on Sept. 12; and the 14,026-TEU ONE Blue Jay on Sept. 13.

Arriving ships have gotten smaller

A significant change over the course of this year’s congestion crisis is that the average capacity of ships calling in Los Angeles/Long Beach has decreased, meaning that terminals handle more ships to move the same throughput.

In the current peak season, new trans-Pacific services have been introduced that use smaller vessels, pulling the average size down. The primary reason: Virtually no larger container ships have been available for sale or lease in recent months; operators are adding capacity via smaller ships by necessity, even if it means chartering them for short periods at astronomical day rates.

During the congestion peak reached earlier this year, on Feb. 1, there were 40 container ships at anchor in San Pedro Bay, which at the time seemed enormous but now seems middling. The total cargo capacity of anchored ships then was 322,721 TEUs. Of ships at anchor on Feb. 1, 15 were 10,000 TEUs or larger, or 38% of the vessel count. The average capacity in the Feb. 1 queue was 8,068 TEUs.

In contrast, as of Monday, there were 17 ships larger than 10,000 TEUs at anchor or drifting, representing only 24% of the total ship count. The average capacity of all ships in the queue was down to 6,184 TEUs — 24% below the average ship size on Feb. 1.

The change in ship size helps put the growth of the offshore queue in context. The news headlines focus on the total number of ships waiting for berths, which has risen from 40 in February to around 70 currently, an increase of 75%. Yet the aggregate capacity of ships in the offshore “parking lot” — a proxy for delayed cargo — has only risen by 34% over the same timeframe, because of the declining size of ships in the queue.

Click for more articles by Greg Miller 

Greg Miller, Senior Editor

Greg Miller covers maritime for FreightWaves and American Shipper. After graduating Cornell University, he fled upstate New York's harsh winters for the island of St. Thomas, where he rose to editor-in-chief of the Virgin Islands Business Journal. In the aftermath of Hurricane Marilyn, he moved to New York City, where he served as senior editor of Cruise Industry News. He then spent 15 years at the shipping magazine Fairplay in various senior roles, including managing editor. He currently resides in Manhattan with his wife and two Shih Tzus.

9 Comments

  1. Why does this conversion not mention that these container ships may be waiting on Covid clearance or lf the have been tested for Covid at all before being allowed to dock at any port potentially spreading more sickness. These ships do come from all over world. HOW ABOUT THAT!!!!!

    1. Because the USA and the world economies continues to be of utmost importance. Indeed, SARS-CoV-2 continues to be about the desired tyranny of one-world-government proponents over We the People and/or the reduction of our God-given freedom and liberty. Get over it; disease and illness are part of life; and “life ain’t fair”. The relative one tenth of one percent of those infected who die are in poor health and have compromised immune systems. Healthy humans who easily survive have only flu-like symptoms such as with SARS-CoV-1 virus.

      1. Watch out folks! We’ve got ourselves a fully YouTube-educated, Newsmax lovin’, false information spreadin’, liberty seeker over here! And these masks and mandates sure do hurt his wittle feewings.

  2. Being an avid fan of deep-sea fishing and based in the Long Beach area I have witnessed firsthand the number of ships waiting at anchor or adrift. It is truly a sight I have never witnessed since the port was closed due to the labor strike and that paled in comparison. What I don’t see written about is the availability of labor. Lack of workers to me is really the problem. Last Thursday when I was on the water at 11:00 in the morning I saw only three cranes operating in the Long Beach complex with several berths open. On Friday I saw only 14 cranes operating in the entire LA/LB complex with fewer than 10 ships being worked and this was 1:00 in the afternoon. Many terminals seemed like they were not even operating with a minimum or no amount of activity. Some terminals were full of containers and some seemed far short of capacity. Ships are waiting days to be unloaded after waiting days at anchor. It looks to me that the availability of labor is crippling the port operations. I know that there are issues downstream like the container jam in Chicago that may be causing some delays as well. I also have several customers who are anxiously awaiting the delivery of containers already unloaded that stretch into a week or more. This is not because of a shortage of drayage trucks. It’s a shortage of workers at the port. The activity level at the port is not close to normal and I feel it was busier earlier in the year. Is this shortage of labor deliberate? Is this a case of workers being comfortable with their benefits they don’t have to work? Does anybody dare to put pressure on the ILU and get their members back on the job? Are the steamship companies making so much money they don’t care or are they punishing all those customers that are chartering vessels on their own and want to see them fail? Or Both? There has got to be a lot more to this story than just more ships on the water.

  3. Something to consider…. Our southern border is wide open and someone (government) decides these ships are going to be a problem. If so, somebody needs to get their priorities straight. They are trying to create a food shortage. Just things to think about.

  4. What if… we start sending the illegal/refugees from Mexico to California to start their working visa programs by working on the docks?
    What if…we deregulate the shipping industry?

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