Schneider National’s Q1, outlook not as bad as feared

Multimodal provider’s updated 2025 guidance brackets current expectations

Schneider will host a conference call to discuss first-quarter results at 10:30 a.m. EDT on Thursday. (Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)
Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • Schneider National exceeded first-quarter earnings expectations but lowered its full-year 2025 guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainty and declining consumer sentiment.
  • Despite the lowered outlook, the company reported year-over-year revenue increases across all segments (truckload, intermodal, and logistics), driven partly by the Cowan Systems acquisition.
  • Improved operating ratios were seen across segments, indicating enhanced efficiency.
  • While the stock price initially dipped slightly, the company's overall performance demonstrated resilience amidst a challenging economic climate.
See a mistake? Contact us.

Schneider National announced first-quarter earnings ahead of analysts’ expectations on Thursday but lowered its outlook for 2025.

Schneider (NYSE: SNDR) reported adjusted earnings per share of 16 cents, 2 cents ahead of the consensus estimate and 5 cents higher year over year. The y/y increase was driven by the December acquisition of Cowan Systems. The adjusted EPS number excluded 1 cent per share in acquisition costs.

Full-year guidance was cut to a range of 75 cents to $1 from the initial guide of 90 cents to $1.20 (a 17% reduction at the midpoints). However, the new outlook bracketed the 89-cent consensus estimate at the time of the print. (Analysts have been lowering estimates in recent weeks to reflect potential demand destruction from a protracted trade war.)

“While the current macro-economic environment is leading to declining consumer sentiment and increasing shipper uncertainty, we expect to deliver improved year over year results through 2025, although tempered versus our previous outlook,” said Schneider CFO Darrell Campbell in a news release.

Click for full report – “Tariffs trim Schneider National’s 2025 growth expectations”

Table: Schneider’s key performance indicators

Schneider’s truckload segment reported a 14% y/y revenue increase to $614 million. The bulk of the increase was tied to the acquisition, but revenue per truck per week in both its dedicated and one-way segments increased by approximately 2% y/y as rate per mile increased.

Like many carriers in the industry, Schneider has worked to cull its one-way fleet to improve utilization. Revenue per truck per week, however, was off 4% sequentially for the entire TL fleet from the fourth quarter to the seasonally weakest first quarter.

The unit reported a 95.9% operating ratio (inverse of operating margin), 130 basis points better y/y and 60 bps better than the fourth quarter.

Click for full report – “Tariffs trim Schneider National’s 2025 growth expectations”

The company’s intermodal segment reported a 5% y/y increase in revenue and 250 bps of OR improvement to 94.7%.

Schneider also saw 70 bps of margin improvement in its logistics business.

“Revenues excluding fuel surcharge of nearly $1.3 billion were the second highest for a first quarter in our history, and all our reportable segments improved revenues, earnings, and margin year over year. As the quarter progressed, increasing economic uncertainty lowered consumer sentiment and market expectations,” said Schneider President and CEO Mark Rourke in a news release.

Shares of SNDR were off 0.5% at 9:49 a.m. EDT on Thursday compared to the S&P 500, which was up 1%.

Schneider will host a conference call to discuss first-quarter results at 10:30 a.m. EDT on Thursday.

More FreightWaves articles by Todd Maiden:

Todd Maiden

Based in Richmond, VA, Todd is the finance editor at FreightWaves. Prior to joining FreightWaves, he covered the TLs, LTLs, railroads and brokers for RBC Capital Markets and BB&T Capital Markets. Todd began his career in banking and finance before moving over to transportation equity research where he provided stock recommendations for publicly traded transportation companies.