One year later: How Ukraine-Russia war reshaped ocean shipping
After a year of sanctions and “self sanctions,” shipping cargoes caught in the crossfire continue to find their way to buyers.
After a year of sanctions and “self sanctions,” shipping cargoes caught in the crossfire continue to find their way to buyers.
Sanctions have split the world’s tanker fleet in two. On one side, those that follow Western rules; on the other, those that don’t.
The tanker industry has a storied history of corporate showdowns. The latest, a three-way tussle involving Euronav, looks far from over.
Russian crude restrictions are having the predicted effect on tanker trades, soaking up more vessel capacity as sailing distance lengthens.
The predicted boost to tanker rates from Russian crude disruptions has yet to materialize. Instead, rates have declined.
Even if no oil moves under price caps, Russian exports could face deep discounts and continue to flow via “shadow tankers.”
Europe must replace all seaborne crude imports from Russia within the next few weeks. Crude tanker owners stand to gain.
The EU is going to ban imports of Russian crude and petroleum products. It still has a long way to go to find replacement supplies.
The G-7 plan to squeeze Russia’s oil profits hinges on the EU revising its own sanctions. Those revisions face opposition.
“Right now, shipping companies around the world are looking at this and scratching their heads,” says sanctions expert Bruce Paulsen.
Tanker stocks are proving to be a shelter from the Wall Street storm as demand grows for ships that transport oil and natural gas.
Tankers stocks are doing great. Dry bulk and container stocks temporarily stopped the bleeding. “Maxim stocks” still underperform.
It looks increasingly likely that war-driven changes to global crude flows will persist for an extended period.
Tankers are very busy loading up with American crude oil and refined products sold to overseas buyers.
Bulk commodity shipping stocks held up well before this month. Now they’re falling alongside container shipping stocks.
EU sanctions on Russian petroleum exports could have much more serious repercussions than earlier U.S. moves.
Tankers are loading up on American crude, diesel and gasoline exports. Can the free market withstand political pressure?
Shares of ocean shipping companies have given back much of their 2022 gains after another big sell-off.
The biggest deal in tanker shipping history would merge Euronav and Frontline, but consolidation is no panacea.
Some shipping shares are rising because of war tailwinds. Others are rising despite war headwinds.