Asia-US shippers could see lower rates from Red Sea return

Major ocean carriers, after two years of sectarian violence that reconfigured regional shipping and the broader global supply chain, reopened services on a key Mideast route that could mean lower rates for shippers from Asia to the United States.  

The announcement Thursday by Maersk (MAERSKB.CO) that it is restarting scheduled services via the Red Sea and Suez Canal was a welcome sign of normalization amid years of violence and political turmoil across the region. 

Maersk’s reconfiguring of its MECL service connecting Asia and the U.S. was by all appearances a conservative approach and one likely to be emulated by other container carriers as they reintroduce significant capacity into an uneven environment that could further undercut weakened ocean rates.

One major carrier, CMA CGM of France, mostly continued scheduled services throughout the Houthi offensive.

“Maersk has generally been the most risk averse out of the major carriers regarding a return to the Red Sea, so this is a turning point,” said Xeneta analyst Peter Sand. “The services announced by Maersk as returning to the Suez Canal are smaller ships operating outside an alliance, but the fact it is Maersk making this move is highly significant.”

Maersk over the past week revealed it had operated at least two vessels in the Red Sea. Sand implied that the carrier turned off satellite location equipment in order to conceal the ships’ exact locations – similar to that of the ‘dark fleet’ of sketchy ships with questionable provenance carrying sanctioned cargoes.

Houthi rebels based in Yemen since late 2023 have attacked Red Sea shipping in a show of support for Gaza.

“Xeneta data has shown Maersk testing the water in recent weeks with ships scheduled to sail around the Cape of Good Hope ‘going dark’ and instead sailing through the Red Sea,” said Sand. “Clearly these sailings were deemed successful and the risk now low enough to announce services through the region on official schedules.”

Sand said that while Maersk has re-opened the door to the Suez route, it’s unlikely other carriers will rush in. 

“This does not mean an immediate large-scale return of container shipping to the Red Sea region. Depending on how quickly carriers want to move, it could take three to five months for schedules via the Suez Canal to be fully reinstated. We could also see significant disruption and port congestion during that time as services adjust to new routes and transit times.”

The timing of the return is critical and carries with it a host of factors that are certain to weigh on contract negotiations now underway between carriers and shippers. Diverting ships on longer voyages away from the Red Sea and around the tip of Africa effectively removed substantial capacity from the global market. 

“A large-scale return to shorter sailing distances via the Suez Canal would effectively free up 6-8% of global container shipping capacity,” Sand said. “The implications of this are clear for both carriers and shippers, with overcapacity placing significant downward pressure on freight rates.”

Global container traffic totaled 183 million twenty foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2024, so that could mean close to 2 million TEUs of capacity back in circulation.

“Average spot rates from the Far East are down 43% into the U.S. East Coast and 30% into North Europe compared to a year ago,” said Sand, “while long term rates are expected to fall back to pre-Red Sea crisis levels in December 2023 even without a large-scale return to Red Sea.”

Find more articles by Stuart Chirls here.

Related coverage:

Maersk returns to Red Sea with India-US service

Flat volumes a win for Port of Oakland in unstable year

Canada port, DP World complete $178M modernization

Retail optimism boosting trans-Pacific container rates

Oops! TQL seeks return of incorrect commission payments

An error in calculating commissions for some brokers at 3PL giant TQL led to a clawback of some bonus funds in recent weeks, according to several sources.
Sources at the company confirmed the accuracy of social media posts that said TQL had erred in the size of bonuses calculated for some of its brokers. Rather than allowing the brokers to hold on to the overpayment, the company sought repayment.
According to the social media posts, and confirmed by sources close to TQL, the company’s payroll system erred and paid some brokers a 25% commission when the guidelines would have called for a 20% bonus.

The company notified the affected employees by email that they would need to pay back the difference if the size of the error was in excess of $1,000.

Other social media posts and confirmed by FreightWaves said the accounts in question had been inherited by brokers from colleagues who had departed the company. Prior to the handover, the posts said, the commission was 25% but should have been 20% after the transfer.

Emails sent to TQL’s press relations email address had not been responded to by publication time.

The company notified the affected brokers by email, according to sources. There was no meeting to answer questions.

More articles by John Kingston

Five State of Freight takeaways: tighter market is holding

Louisiana staged truck accident indictment widens as trials and sentencings loom

C.H. Robinson makes its legal written case before SCOTUS on broker liability

Taylor Express closure leaves drivers sleeping in trucks, employees jobless

Pittsburgh-based R&R Family of Companies abruptly shut down its trucking subsidiary Taylor Express earlier this week, laying off all employees and leaving some drivers stranded far from home with no company support, according to multiple interviews conducted by FreightWaves.

A former employee at Taylor Express said all the workers at the Hope Mills, North Carolina, facility were informed on Monday that the company was shutting down immediately and that layoffs were effective the same day. The source asked to remain anonymous.

“They told us Monday that Taylor Express was done, effective immediately,” the former employee said. “All office staff, shop staff, dispatchers — everyone — stopped getting paid that day.”

Drivers stranded after sudden shutdown

According to the former Taylor Express employee the sudden shutdown left some drivers with no clear way to return home after company support systems were cut off.

Before shutting down, Taylor Express operated a mid-sized trucking fleet, according to federal records. As of its most recent FMCSA filing, the carrier reported 114 power units and 106 drivers.

Fuel cards, rental car accounts and vendor relationships were shut down as the company ceased operations, the source said, leaving drivers stranded on the road. At least one driver based in Kansas City has been sleeping in his truck near the Hope Mills terminal while trying to figure out how to get home.

“There was no management there to help them, no rental cars, no fuel cards — nothing,” the source said. “They just abandoned these guys.”

The former employee said some drivers relied on family members to send money so they could drive home, while others were still attempting to make their way back to North Carolina when services were shut off.

Long-running financial distress

Several sources interviewed by FreightWaves who also requested anonymity said that R&R sold off real estate and other assets over the past two years in an attempt to raise cash, including property tied to Taylor Express operations in Hope Mills and Union City, Tennessee.

R&R also fell behind on carrier payments, prompting carriers to reject loads and credit providers to restrict terms, sources said.

No response from company

FreightWaves attempted to reach R&R Family of Companies and Taylor Express executives multiple times by phone and email but did not receive a response.

No bankruptcy filing for R&R Family of Companies or Taylor Express has been confirmed as of publication.

This is a developing story, and FreightWaves will continue to report as more information becomes available.

Aurora, McLeod deliver industry’s first driverless trucking link to TMS platform

Blue Peterbilt semi-truck on highway with Aurora Innovation and McLeod Software partnership branding for autonomous trucking TMS integration

Aurora Innovation and McLeod Software announced Thursday that their planned Transportation Management System (TMS) integration is ahead of schedule and now available.

Through an API connection, the integration unlocks autonomous trucking capacity for carriers nationwide. It enables seamless tendering, dispatching and tracking of autonomous trucks.

Aurora notes that this is the industry’s first connection between autonomous trucks and a TMS. The partnership was announced in August. McLeod Software has more than 1,200 customers using its TMS platform.

The integration was delivered ahead of schedule due to high demand from McLeod’s customer base seeking access to driverless trucks. Eligible McLeod customers with an Aurora Driver subscription can now book and manage autonomous truck capacity directly within their existing TMS workflows.

Russell Transport, a longtime McLeod customer, is already utilizing the feature to tender autonomous loads. “The ability to tender autonomous loads through our existing McLeod dashboard has been a meaningful operational improvement,” said Rami Abdeljaber, executive vice president and chief operations officer at Russell Transport. “We are seeing efficiency gains without disrupting our operations.”

“In a market that demands constant innovation, we are proud to be the first TMS to put the power of autonomous trucking directly into the hands of our customers,” said Tom McLeod, founder and chief executive officer of McLeod Software.

Ossa Fisher, president of Aurora, said the integration transforms driverless trucking into a practical service. “By embedding the Aurora Driver directly into the McLeod ecosystem, we are enabling carriers to easily adopt driverless trucks and immediately start optimizing their networks.”

Tom McLeod will discuss the integration’s strategic implications at the upcoming BGSA Supply Chain Conference.

Cost management drives Q4 beat at J.B. Hunt

JB Hunt 360 box trailers at a warehouse

J.B. Hunt Transport Services stated during a call with analysts on Thursday evening that “demand is solid” and that the company is actively taking market share. However, these gains may be specific to J.B. Hunt, as it is aligned with customers that are also winning share in their respective industries.

Tightening in the truckload market began the week before Thanksgiving, carrying through the end of the year. While the trend has held through the first two weeks of the new year, management was hesitant to commit to firm guidance, noting past head fakes in this cycle. However, it said the recent strength is occurring in the absence of severe winter weather and that customer inventories are lean.

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Consolidated

J.B. Hunt (NASDAQ: JBHT) reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.90, 24 cents higher year over year and 9 cents ahead of consensus. (The 2024 fourth-quarter EPS result was adjusted to exclude $16 million, or 13 cents per share, in nonrecurring intangible asset impairments in its brokerage unit.)

Consolidated revenue of $3.1 billion was 2% lower y/y and just shy of the $3.12 billion consensus estimate. However, operating income increased 11% (on an adjusted basis) given cost takeouts across the organization and improved productivity.

The company has reached its target for $100 million in annual cost reductions but noted that it continues to find opportunities to cut expenses further.

Cost reductions showing across enterprise

Intermodal revenue was off 3% y/y to $1.55 billion as load counts and revenue per load were both off approximately 1.5%. Transcontinental loads were down 6% while shipments in the Eastern network increased 5%. A mix shift to the East, where lengths of haul are shorter, was a headwind to yield. (Length of haul was down 3% y/y.)

By comparison, total intermodal carloads were off nearly 5% y/y on the U.S. Class I railroads in the quarter. The company also had a tough volume comp to the 2024 fourth quarter (plus-5%).

SONAR: Outbound Domestic Rail Container Volume Index for 2026 (blue shaded area), 2025 (yellow line), 2024 (green line) and 2023 (pink line). It shows the daily volume of intermodal containers moving in the United States, Canada and Mexico. The index is a 7-day moving average using the date that containers were in-gated at a point of origin. Intermodal trailers (trailer-on-flatcar, or TOFC) are excluded.

The unit reported a 91.2% operating ratio (inverse of operating margin). That was 140 basis points better y/y and 60 bps better than the third quarter. Cost per load was down 3% while revenue per load was off just 1.5%. Container turns improved 4% y/y to 5.1 on average.

To get back to the long-term margin target of 10% to 12% (90% to 88% OR), the company said it would need to capture one point of margin from each lower costs, better volumes and higher yields. It said it is already on target on the cost front.

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Intermodal

Norfolk Southern’s planned merger with Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) has pushed CSX (NASDAQ: CSX) and BNSF (NYSE: BRK-B), J.B. Hunt’s lone rail partner in the West, to become more closely aligned through service partnerships. Management said it continues to talk with all railroads about future opportunities as it works to find the best solutions for its customers.

(CSX reported a 5% y/y increase in total intermodal traffic in the fourth quarter while Norfolk Southern saw a 7% decline.)

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Dedicated & ICS

Dedicated revenue was up 1% y/y to $843 million as a small decline in the truck count was offset by a slight increase in revenue per truck per week. The company inked new contracts in the quarter covering 385 trucks (1,205 trucks in total during 2025). It added 40 new customers during the year and said the pipeline remains healthy. However, the sales process is now a little longer, which has pushed net growth expectations from the second-half of 2025 into 2026.

An 88.3% OR was 90 bps better y/y. J.B. Hunt is forecasting only modest y/y operating income growth in 2026. (Operating income was up 9% y/y in the fourth quarter on a less than 1% revenue increase.)

Brokerage reported a $3.3 million operating loss, the 12th-straight quarterly loss. A 7% y/y decline in loads was partially by a 6% increase in revenue per load. Gross margins compressed 490 bps to 12.4% as purchased transportation costs accelerated through the end of the quarter.

However, quarterly operating expenses in the brokerage unit have been reduced to $41 million, the lowest in seven years.

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Final-mile & Truckload

Truckload volumes were up y/y by mid-teen percentage for a third straight quarter. Management said that could be a sign that the market is turning.

J.B. Hunt flagged a $90-million revenue hit in 2026 from the loss of a final-mile customer. It said it is working to replace the lost business currently. The unit’s revenue was $824 million over the past 12 months.  

Shares of JBHT were off 4.2% in after-hours trading on Thursday. Shares are up nearly 50% since its third-quarter earnings beat.

More FreightWaves articles by Todd Maiden:

The Stagecoach Robbing Era and The Evolution of Freight Fraud

In the Old West, a man could rob a stagecoach, cross into the next territory, and start fresh with a new name. There were no fingerprints. No databases. No way to objectively prove identity beyond a wanted poster and an eyewitness who might be hundreds of miles away. If you could outrun the immediate pursuit, you could reinvent yourself and do it all again.

The American freight industry in 2026 operates under similar conditions.

A fraudster with an internet connection, a burner phone, and $2,000 for a bond premium can access billions of dollars in freight. They can impersonate legitimate carriers, hijack operating authority, steal loads, disappear with payments, and emerge the next day under a new identity to do it again. The technology exists to stop them. The regulatory framework does not require it.

This is the story of how we got here, and why the problem keeps getting worse.

The Regulated Era When Identity Was Implicit

Before 1980, freight fraud as we know it today was virtually impossible.

The Interstate Commerce Commission controlled every aspect of motor carrier operations. To haul freight across state lines, a trucking company needed a “certificate of public convenience and necessity”, and getting one was nearly impossible. Existing carriers could protest any new application. Routes were rigidly assigned. Rates were collectively set through rate bureaus with antitrust immunity. The system was wasteful, inefficient, and anti-competitive, but it was also remarkably fraud-resistant.

In 1978, approximately 17,000 motor carriers operated under ICC regulation. Everyone knew everyone. A carrier’s reputation was its operating authority, often worth hundreds of thousands of dollars on the open market. You couldn’t simply close the shop and reopen under a new name because obtaining that certificate required years of effort, public testimony, and survival of protests from established carriers who wanted to keep you out.

Identity wasn’t verified because it didn’t need to be. The barriers to entry were so high that bad actors couldn’t get in. The system’s inefficiency was also its security.

1980: The Door Opens

On July 1, 1980, President Jimmy Carter signed the Motor Carrier Act into law. The premise was straightforward: competition would replace regulation, market forces would set prices, and consumers would benefit from lower shipping costs.

“No longer will trucks travel empty because of rules absurdly limiting the kinds of goods a truck may carry,” Carter declared at the signing ceremony. “No longer will trucks be forced to travel hundreds of miles out of their way for no reason.”

He was right about efficiency. By 1985, deregulation saved shippers an estimated $7.8 billion annually through lower rates. By 1998, operating costs per vehicle-mile had fallen by 75 percent for truckload carriers. Intermodal shipping flourished. Just-in-time manufacturing became possible. What nobody anticipated was the security issues that would follow.

The MCA shifted the burden of proof for obtaining operating authority from the applicant to anyone who wanted to challenge the application. Within a decade, the number of carriers more than doubled. By 1995, when the ICC Termination Act eliminated most remaining restrictions, the floodgates were fully open. Today, more than 800,000 motor carriers hold active operating authority, a forty-seven-fold increase from the regulated era.

A 1981 Government Accountability Office report noted concerns that “an increased number of carriers may be operating illegally” due to reduced ICC enforcement efforts. The agency was already struggling to verify who was actually operating trucks on American highways.

The Chameleon Emerges: 1990s-2000s

With barriers to entry essentially eliminated, a new carrier species evolved and entered the chameleon.

The tactic was elegant in its simplicity. Operate a trucking company with minimal safety investment. Accumulate violations, penalties, and poor inspection results. When enforcement catches up, close the company. Transfer the trucks and drivers to a new entity. Apply for a fresh operating authority. Start over with a clean record.

The term “chameleon carrier” or “reincarnated carrier” didn’t enter the regulatory vocabulary until the late 2000s, but the practice had been building for years. Industry veterans watched helplessly as operators with horrific safety records simply dissolved and reappeared under new names, continuing to put dangerous equipment on the road while legitimate carriers invested in compliance.

The pattern became undeniable after a series of catastrophic crashes. In 2008, a charter bus carrying Vietnamese Catholic pilgrims crashed in Sherman, Texas, killing 17 people. Investigators discovered the operator had a history of safety violations under previous company names, violations that hadn’t followed him into his new authority.

The crash forced a reckoning. The FMCSA began a vetting program for charter bus companies and household goods movers. But freight carriers, the largest category of applicants, remained largely unscreened.

In 2012, a GAO study found that 1,136 new applicants in 2010 alone exhibited “chameleon” characteristics, shared addresses, phone numbers, and ownership patterns with previously sanctioned carriers. Eighteen percent of suspected chameleons had been involved in severe crashes, compared to just six percent of non-chameleon carriers.

Three times the crash rate. Same highways. Different names.

Do We Have a Solution?

Congress responded to the GAO findings by directing FMCSA to develop a risk-based methodology to screen all applicants for chameleon carrier behavior. The result was ARCHI, Application Review and Chameleon Investigation,a prototype vetting system that used pattern recognition to identify suspicious applications.

ARCHI worked by cross-referencing new applications against known red flags: shared addresses with shut-down carriers, overlapping ownership structures, common phone numbers, and similar equipment patterns. When both “match” and “motive” were present, indicators suggesting both the ability and the incentive to reincarnate, applications were flagged for manual review.

It was never intended to remain a prototype. According to internal documentation, ARCHI was supposed to become part of a comprehensive, automated vetting workflow integrated into the broader Unified Registration System. That was 2013.

More than a decade later, the URS modernization remains incomplete. ARCHI appears to have operated on something like autopilot, functional but understaffed, identifying patterns but lacking resources for follow-through. Meanwhile, chameleon carriers continued to slip through.

The Specialized Solutions case in Michigan illustrates the gap. In 2016, FMCSA investigators documented that Anvar Akhmedov had operated at least four trucking companies, three of which had been put out of service. A compliance review explicitly predicted that “Azda Logistics will most likely reincarnate itself as Specialized Solutions LLC to avoid an adverse safety rating or history.”

That’s exactly what happened. Despite the documented prediction, Specialized Solutions received operating authority. When confronted by investigators, Akhmedov admitted switching company names specifically to hide his troubled safety record from customers. As of late 2025, he appears to be connected to multiple active carriers, including one with a vehicle-out-of-service rate of 42 percent, nearly double the national average.

The Digital Accelerant: 2010s-2020s

If deregulation opened the door to fraud and regulatory neglect left it unguarded, digital transformation kicked it off its hinges.

Load boards transformed how freight moves in America. What once required phone calls, personal relationships, and industry reputation could now happen with a few keystrokes. An estimated 16,000 freight brokers and 400,000 carriers operate in digital marketplaces where a single load might touch four or five different entities during transit. The efficiency gains were enormous. So was the fraud opportunity.

Double brokering, the practice of re-brokering a load without authorization, exploded. The scheme works like this: a fraudulent operator bids on a load posted by a legitimate broker, wins the contract, then immediately re-posts the load at a lower rate. A second carrier picks it up, delivers the freight, and waits for payment that never comes. The double broker disappears with the spread.

Between Q4 2022 and Q1 2023, the load board Truckstop reported a 400 percent increase in double-brokering complaints. Overall, freight fraud jumped 130 percent in 2023, with roughly 69 percent involving some form of double brokering. Industry estimates suggest the practice extracts between $500 million and $700 million annually from transportation networks, and that’s likely conservative.

The schemes have grown sophisticated. Bad actors now approach struggling carriers nearing closure with offers to buy their credentials and login information for load boards and brokerage platforms, sometimes purchased via PayPal or Venmo, without paperwork. They operate legitimately for a period to build trust, then rotate in compromised identities to start stealing freight. “Maria,” operating on Telegram messenger, sold over 200 carrier identities last year and even brazenly built her own open backend vibe-coded MC# marketplace. It even has a scrollable, Tinder-esque list of CDL photos where you can find a driver for your fleet, some of whom are clearly non-domiciled. 

In one recurring scheme, a carrier picks up electronics from a California warehouse, then reroutes the trailer within 30 to 60 miles to a secondary location. The trailer doors are modified with reversed hinges for rapid removal. The product is extracted, a few pallets are left behind, a new bill of lading is printed, and the skeleton delivery continues to its destination. By the time anyone realizes what happened, the thieves are gone.

The Insurance Gateway

Of all the barriers to entry that once filtered out bad actors, insurance remains the most significant and the most eroded.

Captive insurance programs represent what accountability looks like when stakeholders have skin in the game. Members of a captive share risk and exposure collectively. That shared liability creates powerful incentives for vetting. Prospective members undergo rigorous assessment before joining. Existing members face ongoing operational reviews, claims analysis, and risk control evaluations. Failing to maintain standards, the captive holds you accountable through alert status and remediation requirements. Refuse to improve, and you’re removed, back to the traditional market with your record following you.

This is why you seldom see large legacy carrier fleets of repute using the Geicos and Progressives of the industry. Captives reward carriers for their investment in safety and risk management. The assessment process itself filters out operators who can’t or won’t meet standards.

Then there’s the other end of the spectrum.

Last year, Geico entered the commercial truck insurance market with a model that mirrors everything wrong with freight’s approach to identity. Go online. Self-attest. Get a quote. Make a payment. Receive bound insurance immediately. No prospect assessment. No ongoing risk control reviews. No claims pattern analysis. Just coverage, available to anyone with a credit card.

When the insurance barrier falls, the last meaningful filter disappears. You can rent a truck. You can rent a trailer. You can get operating authority with minimal documentation. But historically, you couldn’t rent insurance; someone had to underwrite the risk, and that underwriting process created accountability.

Now even that gateway stands open.

Insurance is the most expensive expense to enter this industry. It’s supposed to be. The premium reflects risk, and assessing risk requires knowing who you’re insuring. When carriers can self-attest their way to coverage without meaningful evaluation, we’ve removed the final lock from a door that was already hanging off its hinges.

The Moral Erosion Underneath the System’s Failure

The identity problem is real. The regulatory gaps are documented. But underneath the system’s failure is something harder to quantify: we’ve built an industry that no longer requires consideration of others.

Before deregulation, the barriers to entry were locks that kept even the righteous righteous. When it takes years to earn operating authority, when your reputation is your currency, and when everyone in the industry knows everyone else, you think twice before cutting corners. The system forced accountability through friction.

Remove the lock, and you find out who was only behaving because the lock existed.

Today, anyone with $2,000, a burner phone, and an unvetted self-attested application can access billions in freight. No office required, a $39 virtual mailbox works fine. You might have 18 months before anyone conducts a new-entrant audit, if they ever do. In 18 months, a bad actor can wreak havoc, steal money, close shop, and disappear. The barrier that once filtered out those without skin in the game now filters out almost no one.

What rushed through that open door wasn’t just criminals; it was a mindset. A way of doing business that doesn’t consider the people you share the road with. Doesn’t consider the businesses you transact with. Doesn’t consider the taxpaying public funding the highways. Just revenue, by whatever means necessary. The erosion didn’t start with organized fraud rings or sophisticated cargo theft operations. It started with white lies.

I drove in the days before cell phones, when we’d pull loose-leaf from our binders or grab one of our six log books. We told ourselves we were just doing what we needed to do to make more money. But that was still crossing a line. A white lie is still not righteous. Forging hours to run more miles was killing people; we just didn’t frame it that way. We framed it as a hustle. But underneath, we were saying: my revenue matters more than the truth, more than the rules, more than the people sharing this road with me.

Every time you cross that line, it moves. Every white lie makes the next one easier. The moral fabric erodes one small compromise at a time until you look up and the industry is full of people who never had a line to begin with, or learned from the rest of us that lines are meant to be crossed.

The fraudsters who now dominate the dark corners of freight didn’t arrive with fully formed criminal business models. They learned the systems. They identified the loopholes. They adapted. And they did it in an environment where the industry had already normalized cutting corners, where consideration of others had become optional, where the only question that mattered was: Can I get away with it?

Technology didn’t create this problem. It accelerated it. Digital load boards and instant authority gave scale to a mindset that was already metastasizing. The stagecoach robbers were always out there. We just handed them faster horses and better maps.

The Root of All Fraud Is Identity

Every form of freight fraud, chameleon carriers, double brokering, cargo theft, credential hijacking, ultimately reduces to a single failure: the inability to verify identity.

In criminal investigations, identity verification evolved dramatically over the past century. Fingerprinting became standard in the early 1900s. DNA evidence emerged in the 1980s. Digital forensics can now trace IP addresses, geolocate devices, and reconstruct cyber intrusions. A stagecoach robber who rode into the next territory no longer escapes, his fingerprints follow him everywhere. Freight hasn’t caught up, but barriers foster ingenuity for more advanced methods of fraud. 

FMCSA’s registration system doesn’t require biometric authentication. Operating authority can be obtained with minimal documentation. Safety records are stored separately from registration and insurance records, making it difficult to connect entities with shared ownership. A carrier can be put out of service, and the same owner can register a new company with a new authority, operating the same trucks from the same address, without triggering automatic alerts.

Private industry has tried to fill the gap. Companies like SearchCarriers.com, Genlogs, and Freight Validate have built tools to identify suspicious patterns, shared addresses, phone numbers, VINs, and ownership structures that suggest chameleon behavior. DAT developed an Alias Search function that cross-references contact information against historical data from shut-down carriers.

The fact that private companies felt compelled to build these tools, and that shippers and brokers pay for them, tells you everything about federal enforcement effectiveness.

We are building the fingerprints after the fact. The evidence infrastructure that should exist before crimes occur is being constructed reactively, by private enterprise, while regulators issue memos about problems identified a decade ago.

2025 and The Reckoning We Need

In November 2025, an internal DOT memo surfaced describing a renewed effort to address chameleon-carrier fraud using a “data-driven severity matrix.” The memo cited pattern recognition of SAFER and registration data, essentially the same approach that ARCHI was supposed to implement more than a decade earlier.

It read as if the problem had just been discovered.

FMCSA now receives approximately 70,000 new applications annually. The vast majority are not cross-checked against historical chameleon carrier data. The Unified Registration System, which was supposed to modernize tracking, remains incomplete after more than a decade of delays. Enforcement actions against double brokering, while increasing, remain rare relative to the scale of the problem.

Meanwhile, the Transportation Intermediaries Association notes that there have been 80,000 freight fraud complaints in recent years, and virtually no civil penalties have been issued for violations. The maximum fine of $10,000 per illegal transaction sounds steep until you calculate the math: if you’re stealing $1,000 per load across thousands of drivers, occasional fines are simply the cost of doing business.

The legitimate carrier, paying for insurance, maintaining equipment, investing in driver training, and following the rules, competes against operators who do none of those things and who can vanish and reappear if anyone catches up to them.

The Fingerprints We Already Have

Ironically enough, a biometric identity verification system for transportation workers already exists. We just don’t use it for the people moving $14 trillion in freight.

The Transportation Worker Identification Credential (TWIC) has been required since 2007 for unescorted access to secure areas of maritime ports and vessels. The process is exactly what freight identity verification should look like. Applicants undergo TSA security threat assessments. They submit to FBI criminal background checks. They enroll in biometrics, including fingerprints, through Idemia, the credentialing contractor. The credential ties a verified identity to a physical person who showed up, in person, and proved who they are.

You cannot self-attest your way to a TWIC card. The infrastructure exists. The enrollment centers exist. The biometric database exists. Idemia already operates credentialing programs across transportation and government sectors. The model is proven, scalable, and functional.

Yet a driver can obtain a CDL, an owner can obtain motor carrier authority, and a broker can obtain a license, all without ever submitting to the identity verification rigor that a longshoreman faces just to walk onto a dock.

We decided that port security required knowing exactly who was accessing secure facilities. We decided that airport security required biometric verification. But somehow we decided that access to billions of dollars in freight, to highways shared with the motoring public, to an industry plagued by identity fraud, didn’t require the same standard.

The fingerprint moment isn’t waiting for new technology. The technology has been deployed for nearly two decades. What’s waiting is the will to apply it.

The Solutions That Exist But Don’t

The technology to solve freight identity fraud exists today. Mandatory biometric authentication could tie operating authority to verifiable individuals. Blockchain-based credential systems could create immutable records tracking ownership and transfers. Real-time verification requirements could ensure carriers are who they claim to be before loads are tendered. Insurance minimums could reflect actual risk rather than 1980s cost structures.

What’s lacking is a consensus that the friction these measures would create is worth the security they would provide.

The freight industry moved $14 trillion in goods last year. It cannot function without trust: trust that the carrier picking up your load is who they claim to be, trust that the broker paying you will actually pay, and trust that the load you accepted exists and will be where it’s supposed to be.

That trust has been systematically exploited for four decades. The exploitation is accelerating. At some point, the industry will have to decide whether the cost of verification is worth the cost of fraud. Right now, the numbers suggest it hasn’t decided yet.

The Fingerprint Moment

In 1892, an Argentine police official named Juan Vucetich solved a double murder using fingerprint evidence, the first criminal case ever resolved through this method. Within two decades, fingerprinting became standard practice in law enforcement worldwide. It didn’t eliminate crime. But it made accountability possible. Freight is still waiting for its fingerprint moment.

The era of stagecoach robbery ended not because criminals stopped stealing, but because the cost of crime finally exceeded the reward. Identity became verifiable. Accountability became enforceable. Running to the next territory no longer provided escape.

Until freight reaches that point, until “are you who you say you are” becomes a question with a definitive answer, the fraud will continue. Chameleon carriers will keep reincarnating. Double brokers will keep disappearing. Loads will keep vanishing.

Somewhere, a fraudster with a burner phone, maybe in eastern Europe or India, and a bond premium is already planning tomorrow’s heist.

The solution isn’t just better vetting systems or biometric authentication, though we need those. It’s remembering that freight is a business built on trust, and trust requires people who won’t cross certain lines even when no one is watching. We used to call that character. Somewhere along the way, we decided it was optional.

Part that broke in UPS cargo jet crash had history of failure

Rear view of a FedEx MD-11 freighter aircraft at an airport cargo terminal.

Boeing warned MD-11 operators in 2011 about a broken engine attachment but never flagged the failure as critical to flight safety before a UPS freighter aircraft crashed on Nov. 4 when its left-engine pylon separated from the wing during takeoff, the National Transportation Safety Board said Wednesday.

More than 60 FedEx, UPS and Western Global cargo jets have been grounded since the accident in Louisville, Kentucky,, which resulted in the death of three crew members and 12 people on the ground. The NTSB in November said investigators found fatigue cracks in components housed within the left pylon aft mount bulkhead.

The NTSB on Wednesday said Boeing issued a service bulletin 14 years ago in which it disclosed four previous separations of a spherical bearing assembly that helps hold the engine to the MD-11’s wing. The manufacturer said two sections of the assembly came loose on three different aircraft. The letter advised airlines to conduct visual inspections of the part at 60-month intervals.

Boeing recommended replacing faulty bearings with either a replica or redesigned part. 

Boeing assumed the role of manufacturer of record when it acquired McDonnell Douglas in 1997. The last time the UPS plane that crashed had its engine pylon inspected was in October 2021. 

Some safety experts question whether Boeing should have been more definitive in its warning given the history of bearing failures going back to the DC-10, the MD-11’s predecessor, per reporting by the Associated Press. 

FedEx officials have suggested they could be flying their MD-11s again by the spring, but no officials or other companies have commented about the necessary conditions and timetable for a return to service. 

Click here for more FreightWaves/American Shipper stories by Eric Kulisch.

Write to Eric Kulisch at ekulisch@freightwaves.com.

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FedEx anticipates MD-11 aircraft return in spring period

Rivian CEO, Mack Trucks Leader to Keynote ACT Expo 2026

A keynote speaker in a blue suit delivers an address from the podium on the main stage at ACT Expo, with the large ACT Expo logo, connected truck icons, and a digital circuit-themed blue backdrop behind him, as an engaged audience looks on in the foreground.

ACT Expo, the largest fleet technology conference in North America, has announced its keynote speakers for its upcoming event in Las Vegas. Stephen Roy, president of Mack Trucks and chairman of Volvo Group North America, and RJ Scaringe, founder and CEO of Rivian, will deliver keynote addresses.

The event takes place May 4-7, 2026, at the Las Vegas Convention Center and focuses on new digital technologies defining commercial transportation, in addition to its longstanding focus on zero-emission vehicles.

ACT Expo is massive. The four-day event is anticipated to draw more than 12,000 attendees, including over 2,400 fleet operators, with more than 500 sponsors and exhibitors.

This comes as fleets are seeking ways to navigate higher costs, faster technology cycles and increasing expectations around efficiency, productivity, safety and reliability. The release notes that the keynote conversations will deliver firsthand insights into how OEMs are turning innovation into real-world fleet performance.

Tech leaders in the autonomy sector are also making appearances, including executives from Plus, Kodiak, Aurora, Torc and Waabi.

Stephen Roy’s keynote is scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, and will focus on the digital intelligence defining the modern truck. As president of Mack Trucks and chairman of Volvo Group North America, Roy oversees a broad portfolio of heavy-duty commercial vehicles and technologies.

The release notes that key points of Roy’s keynote will include how fleets are using connected vehicles, over-the-air updates and advanced analytics to improve uptime, optimize maintenance and make smarter long-term equipment decisions.

Rivian’s RJ Scaringe’s keynote is scheduled for Wednesday, May 6, and highlights Rivian’s expanding role in commercial transportation. This includes how the company is working with fleets on large-scale EV deployments. Scaringe will also provide an outlook on new vehicles and technologies, showing how they can improve fleet operations and financial performance.

Rivian has extensive experience with large-fleet EV applications, with Scaringe providing more details on how these vehicles impact total cost of ownership, reliability, safety and day-to-day operations.

Canada’s Titanium going private with a 40%+ bump in stock price

Canadian-based carrier Titanium Transportation Group is going private at a hefty premium to the company’s closing stock price on Wednesday, the day prior to the announcement of the deal.

The offer to take the company private is CAD$2.22 per share, 41% over the closing price on the Toronto Stock Exchange from the prior day of $1.58. It is also a 42% premium over the 20-day volume-weighted average. 

The offer is all-cash. Titanium Transportation (TSO: TTNM.TO) stock closed up 62 cts to $2.19, a gain of 38.61%, just under the offer price. 

Titanium Transportation’s 52-week low was $1.23, recorded in early November.

The buyer of the company is TTNM Management Acquisition Co. Ltd. along with Trunkeast Investments Canada. Trunkeast already is a “significant shareholder” in Titanium Transportation, according to the company’s prepared statement released about the offer. 

TTNM and Trunkeast together will acquire all the shares of Titanium Transportation except those owned by a group of shareholders referred to as the Rolling Shareholders. 

The Rolling Shareholders include Trunkeast, which in turn is affiliated with Canadian industrialist Vic De Zen.  According to a prepared Titanium Transportation statement from 2024, De Zen and Trunkeast together owned 28.74% of the company at that time.

The Rolling Shareholders, who own 50.5% of the company, will retain their shares. The cash offer is for the remaining shareholders. 

The Rolling Shareholders include president and CEO Ted Daniel, two other company executives, Trunkeast and affiliated companies as well as De Zen and De Zen family members. 

An additional 5% of the company’s stock “may be invited” to join the Rolling Shareholders as owners in the private company. 

On its website, Titanium Transportation reported more than 850 power units, more than 3,000 trailers and 10 terminals, two of them in the U.S. and others in Canada. It also said 90% of its trucking revenue “is stable and contracted.”

While the sale is for a relatively small company in the universe of publicly-traded carriers, it may signal that at least at one company, even after logistics companies have seen a runup in their stock prices, the market’s valuations are still seen as falling short of where management believes they can be given their underlying fundamentals and outlook into 2026. 

At a recent conference of logistics M&A movers and shakers, Ron Lentz of Logisyn Advisors said he couldn’t “give away” asset-based carriers in 2025. 

Through nine months, Titanium Transportation had revenue of CAD$356.2 million. That translates to US $256.3 million. It has not yet reported its fourth quarter earnings.

In the company’s prepared statement, William Chyfet, a director and chair of the special committee of independent directors, said that “after a comprehensive review process conducted over the last six months and thorough deliberation, the Special Committee has concluded that the Transaction represents an attractive outcome for the minority shareholders.”

In a list of reasons for the move, the company said the cash basis for the deal provides “non-rolling shareholders with certainty of value and immediate liquidity.”

Titanium Transportation’s stock is lightly traded, with a daily average of about 27,000. On Thursday, more than 850,000 shares traded hands. It does not pay a dividend. 

In the third quarter, Titanium Transportation managed to eke out net income per share of CA one cent. But for the nine months of 2025, its net income per share was a loss of 4 cents. 

Its EBITDA margin in the third quarter was 16.1%. That was higher than a year earlier (15.5%) and the nine-month figure of 15%.

But despite those signs of improvement as well as increases in the stock price even before the announcement, the company said shareholders would benefit “given the limited trading volume, the financial challenges facing the Company and, more broadly, the Trucking & Logistics industry, as well as the lack of liquidity in the Common Shares.”

A Titanium Transportation reached by FreightWaves said the company could not comment on the transaction beyond the prepared statement.

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First look: J.B. Hunt’s Q4 beats consensus

Closeup of a JB Hunt dedicated sleeper cab on a highway

J.B. Hunt Transport Services beat fourth-quarter earnings expectations Thursday after the market closed. Consolidated revenue fell 2% year over year but operating income was up 11% (19% higher including one-time prior-year charges). Better productivity and cost takeouts drove the improvement.

The company previously implemented a $100-million cost reduction program, which management expects to add to over time. It has said the cost elimination is structural and that these expenses won’t come back as volumes improve.

“Our team finished the year with another quarter of strong execution and financial results,” said President and CEO Shelley Simpson in a news release. “We have momentum with our operational excellence that is setting us apart with customers.”

Click for full report – “Cost management drives Q4 beat at J.B. Hunt”

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Consolidated

J.B. Hunt (NASDAQ: JBHT) reported revenue of $3.1 billion, which was just shy of the consensus estimate of $3.12 billion. Earnings per share of $1.90 were 24 cents better y/y and 9 cents ahead of consensus. (The 2024 fourth-quarter EPS result was adjusted to exclude $16 million, or 13 cents per share, in nonrecurring intangible asset impairments in its brokerage unit.)

Intermodal revenue slid 3% y/y to $1.55 billion. Modest declines in load counts and revenue per load were the detractors. The unit reported a 91.2% operating ratio (inverse of operating margin), which was 140 basis points better y/y and 60 bps better than the third quarter.

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Intermodal
SONAR: Outbound Domestic Rail Container Volume Index for 2026 (blue shaded area), 2025 (yellow line), 2024 (green line) and 2023 (pink line). It shows the daily volume of intermodal containers moving in the United States, Canada and Mexico. The index is a 7-day moving average using the date that containers were in-gated at a point of origin. Intermodal trailers (trailer-on-flatcar, or TOFC) are excluded.

Dedicated revenue was up just slightly y/y to $843 million. A small decline in the average truck count was offset by a slight increase in revenue per truck per week. An 88.3% OR was 90 bps better y/y.

The company’s brokerage unit booked a 12th-straight quarterly loss (a $3.3 million operating loss). A 7% y/y decline in loads was partially by a 6% increase in revenue per load.

J.B. Hunt will host a call at 5 p.m. EST on Thursday to discuss fourth-quarter results.

Click for full report – “Cost management drives Q4 beat at J.B. Hunt”

Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Dedicated & ICS
Table: J.B. Hunt’s key performance indicators – Final-mile & Truckload

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